Friday, June 15, 2007

The two biggest games from the NBA regular season

If you look back on the 2006-07 NBA regular season with the playoffs in mind, two games determined the NBA finalists.

4/17/2007 Golden State 111, Dallas 82
In their next to last regular season game, the Mavericks rested all their starters since they clinched the number one seed. (Maurice Ager led Dallas with 20 points and 34 minutes) But Golden State seemed to match up well against Dallas, and if Dallas had beaten the Warriors they probably would have played the Clippers. If they beat the Clippers and the Jazz, they would have played the Spurs in the conference finals, who they beat 3-1 in the season series. So if Dallas beats Golden State on the next to last night of the regular season I think Dallas probably would have won the NBA title.

4/18/2007 New Jersey 106, Chicago 97
Because of the idiosyncrasies of the playoffs, if Chicago wins this game they are the two seed and Cleveland is the four seed. Cleveland had an easy ride to the conference finals playing the undermanned Wizards and underachieving Nets; Chicago beat the defending champion Miami Heat in the first round and lost to the one seed Detroit Pistons in the second. In this scenario I like Detroit's chances of coming out of the East because asking a young Cavaliers team to beat a savvy Heat team (Heat won season series 3-1) and a very physical Bulls squad (2-2) is unrealistic.

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