Analyzing every trade involving only draft picks

After a slow 1st half of the 1st round, there was a flurry of trades in the 2nd half of the first well into the 2nd round. After hearing Peter King moaning about the difficulty in trading back, I expected most teams trading back to lose equity in draft picks based on Jimmy Johnson's chart of the early 90s. Picks for 2008 were devalued a round, and for where I indicated "more likely" I gave the Chargers and Colts 10-6 records, the Browns a 7-9 record, and the 49ers going 9-7, taking into consideration the NFL's trend toward parity and the 49ers strong finish and weak schedule. However, 14 teams gained value as opposed to 9 teams losing value. One team that lost value is the Browns, who absolutely got creamed losing 220 points (an early 3rd) even if they win 7 games next year. Although it looks like the Patriots lost a lot of value trading out of the 1st, the 4th round pick they got was slightly ahead of the Packers' and they acquired it with the thought of trading it for Randy Moss in mind.

Going up	Going down	Team going up?
Jets get picks 14, 191 - 1115 points	Panthers get picks 21, 59, 164 - 1136 points	Loses 21 points
Broncos get pick 17 - 950 points	Jaguars get picks 21, 86, 198 - 972 points	Loses 22 points
Browns get pick 22 - 780 points	Cowboys get pick 36, 2008 1st - 1090 points	Loses 310 points, more likely around 220
Cowboys get pick 26 - 700 points	Eagles get pick 36, 87, 159 - 723 points	Loses 23 points
49ers get pick 28 - 660 points	Patriots get pick 110, 2008 1st - 544 points	Nets 116 points, more likely around 216
Cardinals get pick 33 - 580 points	Raiders get picks 38, 105 - 604 points	Loses 24 points
Bills get pick 34 - 560 points	Lions get picks 43, 74 - 650 points	Loses 90 points
Chargers get pick 37 - 530 points	Bears get picks 62, 93, 167, 2008 3rd - 483 points	Nets 47 points, more likely around 37
Falcons get pick 41 - 490 points	Vikings get picks 44, 121 - 512 points	Loses 22 points
Colts get pick 42 - 480 points	49ers get picks 126, 2008 1st rounder - 316 points	Nets 164 points, more likely around 70
Jets get picks 47, 235 - 431 points	Packers get picks 63, 89, 191 - 436 points	Loses 5 points
Browns get pick 53, 195 - 383 points	Cowboys get picks 67, 103, 178 - 363 points	Nets 20 points
Lions get pick 58 - 320 points	Saints get picks 66, 145 - 294 points	Nets 26 points
Lions get pick 61 - 292 points	Ravens get picks 74, 101 - 316 points	Loses 24 points
Ravens get pick 86 - 160 points	Jaguars get picks 101, 166, 203 - 131 points	Nets 29 points
Raiders get pick 91 - 136 points	Patriots gets 2008 3rd, pick 211 - 119 points	Nets 17 points
Vikings get pick 102 - 92 points	Bucs get picks 106, 182 - 101 points	Loses 9 points
Saints get pick 107 - 80 points	Texans get picks 123, 163 - 75 points	Nets 5 points
Steelers get pick 112 - 70 points	Packers get pick 119, 192 - 71 points	Loses 1 point
Lions get pick 117 - 60 points	Rams get picks 139, 154 - 66 points	Loses 6 points
Broncos get pick 121 - 52 points	Vikings get picks 176, 233, 2008 3rd - 74 points	Loses 22 points
Jaguars get pick 149 - 32 points	Falcons get picks 194, 198, 203 - 36 points	Loses 4 points
Cowboys get pick 195 - 13 points	Browns get picks 200, 234 - 12 points	Nets 1 point